It will be interesting to see how it plays out. The dominant ideology of the elite is based on a paradigm that is vanishing before our very eyes. Perhaps its vanished already, but they just don’t know it. The socialist systems of Europe are dying on their feet. The most amazing thing about their American admirers is their continuing belief in a socialist future rooted in the past.
The balance of probability suggests that government will become less important over the next 10 years, though many states will not surrender its prerogatives without a fight. After all, a great deal of that missing $1.5 trillion in Europe represents political corruption. But those governments which survive will focus on providing the essential state services: maintaining sovereignty, controlling borders and delivering public goods.
The states which dabble in irrelevant atheistic, 19th century social engineering are probably going to have a hard time surviving. Ironically the nation whose vision naturally conforms to this is the the United States. The “hundred year old document” which the Left habitually dismisses as irrelevant may turn out to be the key map for the future; a future in which non-state actors are dominant, where the word “God” becomes relevant again in a universe where Demons are suddenly real.
Regular, or occasional, readers here know that Neal Stephenson had a very similar picture of how things might develop, almost 20 years ago. Thus the title of this blog.
I’m working on a longer piece about how the great speculative fiction (sci-fi) authors of the 20th century already did brilliant exploration of issues that may seem new to younger portion of the NRx. Meanwhile, as Wretchard points out, there are going to be myriad opportunities to break free of centralized Cathedral government in the next few years.
We must be prepared to take them.